Author

Dana Amin

Abstract

Project contingency is one of the most important preliminary processes in any project estimation as it ensures the project risk for cost over-run due to uncertainties , in light of that, it is also important to make sure that the project contingency is not overestimated to maintain competitiveness in the market. This project aims to develop contingency decision support tool using ML techniques in order to predict the optimum contingency cost that balances between maintaining business competitiveness in the market and achieving project objectives. Different ML ways were evaluated and based on accuracy level ; Random Forest was found to be yielding the most accurate results using knime software. The required data to build the model are collected from organization’s database including a total of 2071 projects. In addition to interviews and surveys with project managers, the model covered the risk attribute, project value, line of business to optimize the project contingency cost.

Publication Date

12-10-2023

Document Type

Master's Project

Student Type

Graduate

Degree Name

Professional Studies (MS)

Department, Program, or Center

Graduate Programs & Research

Advisor

Khalil Al Hussaeni

Campus

RIT Dubai

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