Abstract
This dissertation details the generation of a kilonova simulation training library and the training of subsequent machine learning emulators used for multidimensional interpolation. We begin with a Gaussian process interpolation methodology and apply that emulator for Bayesian inference with the AT 2017gfo light-curve dataset. We then expand on our emulator interpolation methodology, replacing the scalar Gaussian process emulator with a vector neural network emulator for light-curve generation. Our neural network emulator results are localized to a much more narrow region of the parameter space, prompting a detailed supportive investigation of the systematic uncertainty associated with our inference approach. We then broaden our initial examination of only electromagnetic observations to include gravitational-wave observations which inform us about the progenitor binary parameters. These binary parameters, when used in conjunction with fits to general-relativistic simulations of neutron star mergers, serve as a separate channel for predicting ejecta parameters such as mass and velocity. We examine the inferred ejecta predictions when using only electromagnetic observations, only gravitational wave observations, and joint electromagnetic and gravitational wave data. Our analysis shifts gears slightly, focusing our inference on examining which nuclear mass and fission models produce elemental abundances most closely aligned with the abundance patterns observed in nature. We use the most closely-matching abundance pattern in conjunction with our simulated abundances to identify a preferred ratio of wind-to-dynamical ejecta, thus introducing an additional observational prior for our standard light-curve inference. Finally, we conclude with a return to exploring machine learning emulators, this time focusing on a random forest emulator for kilonova spectra. Expanding on model limitations identified using light-curve inferences, we propose an additional kilonova component to rectify an underluminosity in our model, finding that the proposed solution in fact exacerbates the issue. The dissertation concludes with a discussion about future work, with an appendix which briefly highlights relevant unpublished results.
Publication Date
8-2024
Document Type
Dissertation
Student Type
Graduate
Degree Name
Astrophysical Sciences and Technology (Ph.D.)
Department, Program, or Center
Physics and Astronomy, School of
College
College of Science
Advisor
Richard O'Shaughnessy
Advisor/Committee Member
Nathan Cahill
Advisor/Committee Member
Joshua Faber
Recommended Citation
Ristic, Marko, "Kilonova Modeling and Parameter Inference" (2024). Thesis. Rochester Institute of Technology. Accessed from
https://repository.rit.edu/theses/11883
Campus
RIT – Main Campus